Science in the face of urban vulnerability and resilience in new climate scenarios
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17765/2176-9184.2026v26.e14639Keywords:
severe convective storms, Tornadoes, climate variability, urban planning, disaster risk reductionAbstract
Extreme weather events challenge urban planning and city management in the context of climate change. This editorial draws on the tornado that struck Maringá, Paraná, Brazil, on November 2, 2026, to discuss urban vulnerability, disaster prevention, and resilience. It emphasizes the need to distinguish the occurrence of a specific event from its causal attribution to climate change, considering the complexity of atmospheric processes and the uncertainties surrounding tornado responses to global warming. Evidence regarding environments favorable to severe storms in subtropical South America and the influence of natural climate variability, including the El Niño phenomenon, is discussed. The editorial addresses the relationship between hazard, exposure, and vulnerability, focusing on urban trees, electrical infrastructure, building standards, and early warning systems. It argues that disaster risk reduction requires sustained action, integration of scientific knowledge and public management, stronger research capacity, and investment in solutions adapted to regional contexts. The role of universities, research institutions, and scientific communication in translating evidence into policies and adaptation strategies is also highlighted. The Maringá event is presented as an opportunity to rebuild with reduced vulnerability and strengthen cities' capacity to protect lives and essential services.
References
ALLEN, J. T. (2018). Climate Change and Severe Thunderstorms. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science, Oxford, 2018. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013.62
BROOKS, H. E. Severe thunderstorms and climate change. Atmospheric Research, v. 123, p. 129–138, 2013. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2012.04.002
CHAKRABORTY, A.; HURRELL, J. W.; RASMUSSEN, K. L.; SUN, L. (2026). Evaluating changes in convective environments over subtropical South America under forced and natural climate variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 53, e2026GL125330. https://doi.org/10.1029/2026GL125330
GIACHETTI, A.; FERRINI, F.; BARTOLI, G. A risk analysis procedure for urban trees subjected to wind- or rainstorm. Urban Forestry & Urban Greening, v. 58, p. 126941, 2021. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ufug.2020.126941.
HAQUE, A., AKTER, M., HUSSAIN, M. M., RAHMAN, M. R., SALEHIN, M., & RAHMAN, M. An integrated risk-based early warning system to increase community resilience against disaster. Progress in Disaster Science, v. 21, p. 100310, 2024. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2023.100310.
IPCC. Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing Climate. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2021. p. 1513–1766. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.013.
LARSEN, P. H. A method to estimate the costs and benefits of undergrounding electricity transmission and distribution lines. Energy Economics, v. 60, p. 47–61, 2016. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2016.09.011.
LI, H., ZHANG, X., LI, Z., WEN, J., & TAN, X. A Review of Research on Tree Risk Assessment Methods. Forests, v. 13, n. 10, 1556, 2022. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/f13101556.
MARINGÁ (Município). Decreto nº 2003, de 4 de novembro de 2026. Declara Situação de Emergência no Município de Maringá causada por tornado, chuvas intensas e vendaval. Diário Oficial do Município de Maringá, Maringá, ano 36, n. 4958, p. 1-2, 5 nov. 2026. Disponível em: maringa.pr.gov.br. Acesso em: 5 nov. 2026.
MU, Y., JONES, C., CARVALHO, L. M., XUE, L., LIU, C., & DING, Q. Pacific decadal oscillation and ENSO forcings of northerly low-level jets in South America. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, v. 7, n. 1, p. 297, 2024. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00852-6.
ORGANIZAÇÃO DAS NAÇÕES UNIDAS (ONU). Princípio 15. In: Declaração do Rio sobre Meio Ambiente e Desenvolvimento. Rio de Janeiro: ONU, 1992. Disponível em: https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/141565. Acesso em: 5 nov. 2026.
ROKHIDEH, M.; FEARNLEY, C.; BUDIMIR, M. Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems in the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction: Achievements, Gaps, And Future Directions. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, v. 16, p. 103–116, 2025. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-025-00622-9.
SANTOS, L.; ALLEN, J. T.; NASCIMENTO, E. L. Climatology and trends of severe storm environments in subtropical South America. Weather and Climate Extremes, v. 50, 100820, 2025. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100820.
SISTEMA DE TECNOLOGIA E MONITORAMENTO AMBIENTAL DO PARANÁ (SIMEPAR). Nota oficial: avaliação técnica do evento meteorológico em Maringá. Curitiba: SIMEPAR, 3 nov. 2026. Disponível em: https://www.simepar.br/simepar/post/79990. Acesso em: 5 nov. 2026.
STOTT, P.; CHRISTIDIS, N.; OTTO, F.; SUN, Y.; VANDERLINDEN, J. P.; VAN OLDENBORGH, G. J.; ... & ZWIERS, F. Attribution of extreme weather events in the context of climate change. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, v. 7, n. 1, p. 23-41, 2016. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.380.
UNITED NATIONS OFFICE FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION (UNDRR). Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030. Geneva: United Nations, 2015. Disponível em: https://www.undrr.org/publication/sendai-framework-disaster-risk-reduction-2015-2030. Acesso em: 5 nov. 2026.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Revista em Agronegócio e Meio Ambiente

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
A Revista se reserva o direito de efetuar, nos originais, alterações de ordem normativa, ortográfica e gramatical, com o intuito de manter o padrão culto da língua, respeitando, porém, o estilo dos autores. As opiniões emitidas pelos autores são de sua exclusiva responsabilidade.Os direitos autorais pertencem exclusivamente aos autores. Os direitos de licenciamento utilizado pelo periódico é a licença Creative Commons Attribution
Creative Commons Atribuição 4.0 Internacional. São permitidos o compartilhamento (cópia e distribuição do material em qualquer meio ou formato) e adaptação (remixar, transformar, e criar a partir do trabalho, mesmo para fins comerciais), desde que lhe atribuam o devido crédito pela criação original.




